Projection Explanation: Vogtle 3

Feature importance and per-unit projection explanations for the model.

Per-Unit Projection Explanation

Why was this projection made? Each bar shows how a feature pushed the projection higher or lower compared to the fleet average.

When will the next refueling outage begin?

FeatureValueImpact (days)
Outage Number (experience) 3.0 +15.79 days
Cycle Length (days) 553.0 +9.96 days
Years to License Expiration 34.4 +8.77 days
Containment Type PWR-DRYAMB -8.18 days
unit_n_prior_refuels 3.0 +3.78 days
Avg Coastdown Days (this unit) N/A -2.64 days
unit_pct_in_summer 0.3 -2.31 days
Previous Outage Duration 43.0 +2.22 days
Fleet Sequence Position 2.0 -1.99 days
Days Since Fleet Prev Outage 56.0 -1.8 days

Start Date — Global Importance

When will the next refueling outage begin?

Refueling Duration — Global Importance

How long will the next refueling outage last?

Refueling Extension — Global Importance

How many days past schedule will it run?

Forced Outage Duration — Global Importance

If a forced outage occurs now, how long will it last?

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