Prediction Explanation: Vogtle 3

Feature importance and per-unit prediction explanations for the model.

Per-Unit Prediction Explanation

Why was this prediction made? Each bar shows how a feature pushed the prediction higher or lower compared to the fleet average.

When will the next refueling outage begin?

FeatureValueImpact (days)
Prior Cycle Length (months) 18.2 -15.59 days
Cycle Length (days) 553.0 +12.75 days
unit_pct_in_spring_fall 0.7 +1.72 days
Years to License Expiration 34.4 -1.17 days
unit_n_prior_refuels 3.0 +1.06 days
Age at Outage (years) 4.2 -0.89 days
Net Capacity (MWe) 1117.0 -0.87 days
unit_pct_in_summer 0.3 -0.86 days
m6_month_dist_to_modal 4.0 +0.85 days
Fleet Sequence Position 2.0 -0.7 days

Start Date — Global Importance

When will the next refueling outage begin?

Refueling Duration — Global Importance

How long will the next refueling outage last?

Refueling Extension — Global Importance

How many days past schedule will it run?

Forced Outage Duration — Global Importance

If a forced outage occurs now, how long will it last?

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