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Prediction Scorecard

Comparing our unit reliability projections against official NRC published schedules.

NukeWorker Predictive Model Scorecard

NukeWorker leverages decades of historical data to independently forecast Nuclear Outages.
Our predictive modeling accurately projects Outage Start Dates 99.6% of the time. Our calculated completion dates are 82.6% accurate overall — making us 70% more accurate than the units' occasionally flawed official schedules.

Fleet Start Date Accuracy
99.6%

Average confidence score in our projected Start Dates.

Historically predicted start dates compared against the actual outage start dates.

Fleet Overrun Accuracy
82.6%

And 70% more accurate than the sites at predicting their true end dates.

NukeWorker's Predictive Model successfully forecasted a more accurate completion date than the officially published schedule.
(Measured using a strict accuracy grade: -10% per day error after 5 days).

Unit Leaderboard: Start Dates

# Unit Name Start Date Accuracy Last Calculated
1 Arkansas Nuclear 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
2 Arkansas Nuclear 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
3 Beaver Valley 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
4 Beaver Valley 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
5 Braidwood 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
6 Braidwood 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
7 Browns Ferry 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
8 Browns Ferry 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
9 Browns Ferry 3 100% Mar 20, 2026
10 Brunswick 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
11 Byron 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
12 Byron 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
13 Calvert Cliffs 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
14 Catawba 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
15 Clinton 100% Mar 20, 2026
16 Comanche Peak 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
17 Cooper 100% Mar 20, 2026
18 Davis-Besse 100% Mar 20, 2026
19 Diablo Canyon 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
20 Diablo Canyon 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
21 Dresden 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
22 Dresden 3 100% Mar 20, 2026
23 Fermi 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
24 FitzPatrick 100% Mar 20, 2026
25 Ginna 100% Mar 20, 2026
26 Grand Gulf 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
27 Harris 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
28 Hatch 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
29 Hope Creek 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
30 LaSalle 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
31 LaSalle 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
32 Limerick 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
33 Limerick 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
34 McGuire 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
35 McGuire 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
36 Millstone 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
37 Millstone 3 100% Mar 20, 2026
38 Monticello 100% Mar 20, 2026
39 Nine Mile Point 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
40 Nine Mile Point 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
41 North Anna 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
42 North Anna 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
43 Oconee 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
44 Palo Verde 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
45 Palo Verde 3 100% Mar 20, 2026
46 Peach Bottom 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
47 Peach Bottom 3 100% Mar 20, 2026
48 Point Beach 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
49 Prairie Island 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
50 Prairie Island 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
51 Quad Cities 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
52 Robinson 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
53 Saint Lucie 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
54 Saint Lucie 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
55 Salem 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
56 Seabrook 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
57 Sequoyah 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
58 South Texas 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
59 Surry 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
60 Surry 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
61 Susquehanna 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
62 Susquehanna 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
63 Vogtle 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
64 Vogtle 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
65 Vogtle 4 100% Mar 20, 2026
66 Watts Bar 2 100% Mar 20, 2026
67 Wolf Creek 1 100% Mar 20, 2026
68 Callaway 99% Mar 20, 2026
69 Calvert Cliffs 1 99% Mar 20, 2026
70 Comanche Peak 2 99% Mar 20, 2026
71 Farley 1 99% Mar 20, 2026
72 Hatch 2 99% Mar 20, 2026
73 Oconee 2 99% Mar 20, 2026
74 Oconee 3 99% Mar 20, 2026
75 Palo Verde 1 99% Mar 20, 2026
76 Perry 1 99% Mar 20, 2026
77 Point Beach 1 99% Mar 20, 2026
78 Quad Cities 1 99% Mar 20, 2026
79 River Bend 1 99% Mar 20, 2026
80 Salem 1 99% Mar 20, 2026
81 Sequoyah 2 99% Mar 20, 2026
82 South Texas 1 99% Mar 20, 2026
83 Summer 99% Mar 20, 2026
84 Turkey Point 4 99% Mar 20, 2026
85 Vogtle 3 99% Mar 20, 2026
86 Brunswick 1 98% Mar 20, 2026
87 Catawba 1 98% Mar 20, 2026
88 D.C. Cook 1 98% Mar 20, 2026
89 D.C. Cook 2 98% Mar 20, 2026
90 Farley 2 98% Mar 20, 2026
91 Turkey Point 3 98% Mar 20, 2026
92 Waterford 3 98% Mar 20, 2026
93 Watts Bar 1 98% Mar 20, 2026
94 Columbia Generating Station 97% Mar 20, 2026

Unit Leaderboard: Overruns

# Unit Name Accuracy Comparison (NukeWorker vs. Official Site Schedule) Current Predicted Overrun Last Calculated
1 Vogtle 4
NukeWorker Accuracy: 100% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 85%
+4 Days Mar 20, 2026
2 Braidwood 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 99% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 99%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
3 Braidwood 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 98% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 98%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
4 Ginna
NukeWorker Accuracy: 98% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 98%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
5 Limerick 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 98% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 98%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
6 Monticello
NukeWorker Accuracy: 98% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 68%
+6.2 Days Mar 20, 2026
7 Point Beach 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 98% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 98%
+0.6 Days Mar 20, 2026
8 Clinton
NukeWorker Accuracy: 97% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 76%
+5.4 Days Mar 20, 2026
9 D.C. Cook 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 97% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 74%
+5.6 Days Mar 20, 2026
10 Saint Lucie 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 97% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 89%
+3.1 Days Mar 20, 2026
11 Dresden 3
NukeWorker Accuracy: 96% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 96%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
12 McGuire 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 96% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 96%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
13 Palo Verde 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 96% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 83%
+4.2 Days Mar 20, 2026
14 Beaver Valley 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 95% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 27%
+10.5 Days Mar 20, 2026
15 Browns Ferry 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 95% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 95%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
16 Byron 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 95% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 96%
+1 Days Mar 20, 2026
17 LaSalle 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 95% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 90%
+2.4 Days Mar 20, 2026
18 North Anna 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 95% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 95%
+0.3 Days Mar 20, 2026
19 Vogtle 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 95% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 91%
+2.5 Days Mar 20, 2026
20 Byron 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 94% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 94%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
21 Catawba 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 94% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 86%
+3.7 Days Mar 20, 2026
22 Comanche Peak 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 94% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 94%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
23 FitzPatrick
NukeWorker Accuracy: 94% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 94%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
24 Calvert Cliffs 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 93% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 93%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
25 Limerick 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 93% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 93%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
26 Oconee 3
NukeWorker Accuracy: 93% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 93%
+0.6 Days Mar 20, 2026
27 Susquehanna 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 93% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 80%
+4.1 Days Mar 20, 2026
28 Wolf Creek 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 93% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 57%
+7 Days Mar 20, 2026
29 Browns Ferry 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 92% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 56%
+7.1 Days Mar 20, 2026
30 Harris 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 92% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 87%
+3.2 Days Mar 20, 2026
31 Point Beach 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 92% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 92%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
32 Catawba 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 91% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 91%
+0.5 Days Mar 20, 2026
33 Oconee 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 91% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 91%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
34 Quad Cities 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 91% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 92%
+1.7 Days Mar 20, 2026
35 Callaway
NukeWorker Accuracy: 90% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 13%
+12.7 Days Mar 20, 2026
36 D.C. Cook 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 90% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 65%
+6.1 Days Mar 20, 2026
37 Millstone 3
NukeWorker Accuracy: 90% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 33%
+10.1 Days Mar 20, 2026
38 Sequoyah 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 90% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 90%
+2.2 Days Mar 20, 2026
39 Surry 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 90% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 92%
+1.7 Days Mar 20, 2026
40 Columbia Generating Station
NukeWorker Accuracy: 87% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 19%
+12.1 Days Mar 20, 2026
41 Diablo Canyon 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 87% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 87%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
42 Brunswick 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 86% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 88%
+1.8 Days Mar 20, 2026
43 Calvert Cliffs 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 86% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 66%
+5.6 Days Mar 20, 2026
44 Comanche Peak 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 86% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 68%
+6 Days Mar 20, 2026
45 Nine Mile Point 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 86% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 79%
+3 Days Mar 20, 2026
46 Oconee 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 86% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 87%
+1.8 Days Mar 20, 2026
47 Vogtle 3
NukeWorker Accuracy: 86% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 26%
+11 Days Mar 20, 2026
48 Fermi 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 85% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 30%
+11 Days Mar 20, 2026
49 North Anna 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 85% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 84%
+2.7 Days Mar 20, 2026
50 Peach Bottom 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 85% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 84%
+2.1 Days Mar 20, 2026
51 Palo Verde 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 84% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 37%
+9.3 Days Mar 20, 2026
52 South Texas 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 84% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 85%
+0.6 Days Mar 20, 2026
53 Arkansas Nuclear 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 83% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 73%
+4 Days Mar 20, 2026
54 Vogtle 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 83% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 83%
+2.5 Days Mar 20, 2026
55 Brunswick 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 82% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 78%
+2.6 Days Mar 20, 2026
56 Robinson 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 82% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 60%
+6.9 Days Mar 20, 2026
57 Peach Bottom 3
NukeWorker Accuracy: 81% (Win Rate: 100%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 81%
0 Days (On-Time) Mar 20, 2026
58 Saint Lucie 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 81% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 55%
+6.8 Days Mar 20, 2026
59 Watts Bar 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 81% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 61%
+5.6 Days Mar 20, 2026
60 Seabrook 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 79% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 41%
+8.2 Days Mar 20, 2026
61 Hatch 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 78% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 36%
+10.3 Days Mar 20, 2026
62 Arkansas Nuclear 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 77% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 75%
+4.7 Days Mar 20, 2026
63 Beaver Valley 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 77% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 61%
+7.1 Days Mar 20, 2026
64 Dresden 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 77% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 77%
+1.2 Days Mar 20, 2026
65 Hatch 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 77% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 26%
+11.5 Days Mar 20, 2026
66 Turkey Point 3
NukeWorker Accuracy: 77% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 73%
+5.2 Days Mar 20, 2026
67 Turkey Point 4
NukeWorker Accuracy: 76% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 54%
+5.6 Days Mar 20, 2026
68 Hope Creek 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 75% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 56%
+5.8 Days Mar 20, 2026
69 McGuire 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 75% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 80%
+1.3 Days Mar 20, 2026
70 Susquehanna 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 73% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 44%
+9.3 Days Mar 20, 2026
71 Millstone 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 72% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 63%
+6.5 Days Mar 20, 2026
72 Summer
NukeWorker Accuracy: 72% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 23%
+9.9 Days Mar 20, 2026
73 Browns Ferry 3
NukeWorker Accuracy: 71% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 57%
+4.5 Days Mar 20, 2026
74 Prairie Island 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 71% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 59%
+6.7 Days Mar 20, 2026
75 River Bend 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 71% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 19%
+10.7 Days Mar 20, 2026
76 Diablo Canyon 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 69% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 70%
+1.5 Days Mar 20, 2026
77 Palo Verde 3
NukeWorker Accuracy: 69% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 46%
+8.9 Days Mar 20, 2026
78 Watts Bar 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 68% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 72%
+0.8 Days Mar 20, 2026
79 South Texas 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 67% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 67%
+4.3 Days Mar 20, 2026
80 Farley 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 66% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 11%
+10.2 Days Mar 20, 2026
81 LaSalle 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 66% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 69%
+3 Days Mar 20, 2026
82 Salem 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 66% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 46%
+8.7 Days Mar 20, 2026
83 Farley 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 65% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 58%
+5.8 Days Mar 20, 2026
84 Waterford 3
NukeWorker Accuracy: 65% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 48%
+8.5 Days Mar 20, 2026
85 Davis-Besse
NukeWorker Accuracy: 64% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 68%
+4.7 Days Mar 20, 2026
86 Nine Mile Point 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 64% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 67%
+3.6 Days Mar 20, 2026
87 Salem 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 64% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 65%
+3.4 Days Mar 20, 2026
88 Cooper
NukeWorker Accuracy: 62% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 59%
+2.2 Days Mar 20, 2026
89 Sequoyah 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 62% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 29%
+10.4 Days Mar 20, 2026
90 Grand Gulf 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 61% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 52%
+6.9 Days Mar 20, 2026
91 Surry 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 61% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 41%
+8.5 Days Mar 20, 2026
92 Quad Cities 2
NukeWorker Accuracy: 58% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 67%
+3.3 Days Mar 20, 2026
93 Prairie Island 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 53% (Win Rate: 33%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 47%
+7.3 Days Mar 20, 2026
94 Perry 1
NukeWorker Accuracy: 48% (Win Rate: 67%)
Official Schedule Accuracy: 39%
+4.5 Days Mar 20, 2026